Doric-China Barometer part 1/2

By Michalis Voutsinas and Helen Vlassi

MACRO ENVIRONMENT

  • China’s industrial output grew by 2.2 percent year-on-year in November, slowing from a 5.0 percent pace seen in previous month and missing expectations for 3.6 percent growth.

  • November’s retail sales marked the worst contraction since May, shrinking by 5.9 percent year-on-year, compared to expectations for a 3.7 percent drop.

  • China’s State council issued a strategic plan to support domestic demand and stimulate consumption investment until 2035.

  • Exports form China witnessed a sudden drop of 8.7 percent year-on-year in November to USD 296.1, billion after declining 0.3 percent in previous month.

  • Imports to China tumbled by 10.6 percent year-on-year in November to USD 226.21 billion, down from a marginal gain of 0.7 percent in October.

  • China posted a total trade surplus of USD 69.84 billion in November, compared with a USD 85.15 billion surplus in the previous month.

PRICE ENVIRONMENT

  • China’s producer-price index slipped to 1.3 percent from a year earlier in November. \

  • China’s factory-gate prices showed an annual drop for a second straight month in November, indicating weak activity and soft demand due to strict pandemicrelated measures.

  • On a monthly basis, China’s producer price index rose by 0.1 percent in November, marking its fourth consecutive month of decelaration..

  • China’s consumer price index inched up its slowest pace since March, by 1.6 percent from a year earlier in November.

  • Non-food prices rose by 1.1 percent year-on-year in November without any significant change since last month.

  • On a monthly basis, November’s consumer price index declined by 0.2 percent after a gain of 0.1 percent in October.

MANUFACTURING 1/2

  • China’s production of crude steel shrank by 6.5 percent from a year earlier in November to 74.54 million tonnes, as mills cut output to stem losses.

  • Average daily output in November stood at 2.49 million tonnes, marking its slowest pace since the beginning of the year.

  • During the first eleven months of 2022, China churned out 935.11 million tonnes of crude steel, or down 1.4 percent from a year earlier.

  • The official manufacturing Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) came in at 48.0 in November, down by 1.2 percent monthon-month

  • The sub-index measuring total new orders balanced at 46.4 percent or down 1.7 percentage points from previous month.

  • China’s Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI) dropped below the threshold territory, signaling a deterioration in market demand.

MANUFACTURING 2/2

  • China’s real estate investment dropped by 19.9 percent year-on-year in November, marking its steepest drop since 2000, after a slump of 16.0 percent in previous month.

  • Property sales by floor area dropped by 14.0 percent year-on-year in November, continuing the double-digits fall for the 9 th straight month.

  • China’s central bank announced a 16- point set of internal directives including credit support for debt-laden housing developers, financial support to ensure handover of projects, and assistance for deferred-payment loans for homebuyers.

  • November’s total value added of industrial enterprises above the designated size increased by 2.2 percent over the previous year.

  • During the first eleven months of 2022, the added value of industries grew by circa 3.8 percent year-on-year.

  • In terms of sectors, the value added of mining increased by 5.9 percent year-onyear; that of manufacturing increased by 2.0 percent year-on-year.

ENERGY 1/2

  • Electricity production in China reached circa 666.7 billion kwh in November, or with a marginal year-on-year increase of 0.1 percent.

  • From January to November, the power generation was 7.6 trillion kwh, up by circa 2.1 percent year-on-year.

  • In terms of varieties, the growth rate of solar power kept flat year-on-year in November, while the growth of nuclear power stood 11.1 percent higher than October’s figure.

  • China‘s hydropower output decreased by 14.2 percent year-on-year in November to 77.95 billion kwh.

  • November’s hydropower output in China lay at 21.5 percent lower than October’s reading.

  • China’s solar power generation stood 24.7 percentage points lower than a reading of 15.75 billion kwh in previous month.

ENERGY 2/2

  • Electricity generated from thermal power in China balanced at circa 475.41 terawatthours in the previous month.

  • China ‘s thermal power output increased by 1.4 percent year-on-year in November.

  • November’s figure stood 6.8 percentage points higher than that of the previous month.

  • During November, China generated circa 60.2 terawatt-hoursfrom wind power.

  • Wind power electricity generation during the past month increased by circa 5.7 percent year-on-year.

  • During the past month, nuclear power generation decreased by 11.1 percent from a year earlier, while it stood 3.7 percentage points higher than last month.

Part 2/2 will be published tomorrow.

Data source: Doric